Bistability conjecture for a three-class structured population model

Let uu^\star be the unique stationary state of the model, and suppose that the model has N=3N'=3 structured classes and satisfies the reduction-to-ordinary-differential-equations assumption. Let the ω\omega-limit set describe the asymptotic states of a trajectory.

Bistability conjecture. There exists a choice of parameters such that uu^\star is locally asymptotically stable but not globally asymptotically stable. The ω\omega-limit set also contains a locally asymptotically stable limit cycle. In addition, the operator MB\mathcal{M}_{\mathcal{B}} can be chosen self-adjoint.

This conjecture asserts the existence of a bistable regime in which the unique equilibrium and a stable limit cycle coexist, with limited basins of attraction. The proposed mechanism is a succession of a supercritical Hopf bifurcation and a subcritical Hopf bifurcation; the rigorous proof is identified as future work in the supplied text.

Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Jérôme Coville and Léo Girardin, “An abstract framework for a class of nonlocal structured population models: existence, uniqueness and stability of steady states”, arXiv:2512.13232 (2025).

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