Baragar–Bourgain–Gamburd–Sarnak strong approximation conjecture for the Markoff equation

Let

X:x2+y2+z2xyz=0\mathbb{X}: x^2+y^2+z^2-xyz=0

be the Markoff equation, and for a prime pp write

X(p):=X(Fp){(0,0,0)}.\mathbb{X}^*(p):=\mathbb{X}(\mathbb{F}_p)\setminus\{(0,0,0)\}.

The equation satisfies strong approximation at pp when the reduction map

X(Z)X(Fp)\mathbb{X}(\mathbb{Z})\longrightarrow\mathbb{X}(\mathbb{F}_p)

is surjective.

Baragar–Bourgain–Gamburd–Sarnak conjecture. The Markoff equation X\mathbb{X} satisfies strong approximation at every prime pp. Equivalently, Out(Π)\operatorname{Out}(\Pi) acts transitively on X(p)\mathbb{X}^*(p) for every prime pp.

Strong approximation is equivalent here to the connectedness of the corresponding moduli fiber and describes the abundance of integral points on the Markoff surface. The conjecture is attributed to Baragar and was reaffirmed by Bourgain, Gamburd, and Sarnak; the paper records effective bounds for the possible exceptional primes.

Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

William Y. Chen, “Noncongruence modular curves as Hurwitz spaces”, arXiv:2510.12003 (2025).

Additional references

2 papers in this index state this conjecture (2022–2025). The statement above is taken from the most recent of them; the others are arXiv:2201.12588.

Progress summary

Never refreshed

Nothing recorded yet. Refresh searches the literature and the public web for attempts on this problem, and writes the first summary here.

Solutions 0

No solutions have been posted yet.