The optimal expected online discrepancy conjecture for sparse random vectors

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Let μd\mu_d be the distribution on {0,1}n\{0,1\}^n used in the paper's sparse matrix model, and let ondisc(μd,n)\mathrm{ondisc}(\mu_d,n) denote the optimal expected online discrepancy over nn arrivals. Here ondisc(μd,n)\mathrm{ondisc}(\mu_d,n) is the infimum, over online signing algorithms, of the expected maximum infinity norm of the signed partial sums.

Optimal expected online discrepancy conjecture. For all 2≤d≤n/22\leq d\leq n/2,

ondisc(μd,n)=Θ(max⁡(d,log⁡log⁡n)).\mathrm{ondisc}(\mu_d,n)=\Theta\bigl(\max(\sqrt{d},\log\log n)\bigr).

The paper proves the order Θ(log⁡log⁡n)\Theta(\log\log n) in a smaller range of dd and identifies the regime d=Ω((log⁡log⁡n)2)d=\Omega((\log\log n)^2) as open. The conjecture proposes the optimal order throughout the full stated range.

References

Primary source

Dylan J. Altschuler and Konstantin Tikhomirov, “A threshold for online balancing of sparse i.i.d. vectors”, arXiv:2509.02432 (2025).

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