DeMarco's orbit-closure conjecture for pairs of marked points

Let ft(x)f_t(x) be a non-isotrivial algebraic family of rational functions of degree greater than 11 over C\mathbb C, parametrized by tAC1t\in\mathbb A^1_{\mathbb C}, and let a(t),b(t)a(t),b(t) be marked points defined over C(t)\overline{\mathbb C(t)}. DeMarco's orbit-closure conjecture. If there are infinitely many t0A1t_0\in\mathbb A^1 such that a(t0),b(t0)Prep(ft0)a(t_0),b(t_0)\in\operatorname{Prep}(f_{t_0}), then

Orb(ft,ft)((a(t),b(t)))(P1×P1)(C(t))\overline{\operatorname{Orb}_{(f_t,f_t)}((a(t),b(t)))}\subseteq(\mathbb P^1\times\mathbb P^1)(\overline{\mathbb C(t)})

is a proper Zariski-closed subset. This is a special case of the conjecture explicitly stated in DeMarco (2016), concerning unlikely intersections and simultaneous preperiodicity in algebraic families; it is not resolved in the source.

Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Xiao Zhong, “Polynomial endomorphisms of ^2 with many periodic curves”, arXiv:2508.13873 (2025).

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