The conjectured quadratic eigenvector for the position matrix
Let be the position matrix of the one-shelf shuffling machine, with entries , where is the probability that the card initially in position ends in position . For , define a vector by
The quadratic eigenvector conjecture. has an eigenvalue-eigenvector pair with multiplicity at least . Numerical computation suggests this eigenvector formula; the conjecture concerns the spectrum of the position matrix and remains unproved in the supplied text.
References
Primary source
Alexander Clay, “Guessing Strategies for Shuffling Machines”, arXiv:2507.10294 (2025).
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