Quantum variance conjecture for compact hyperbolic manifolds

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Let Γ\Hn\Gamma\backslash\mathbb{H}^n be compact, let ff be a smooth compactly supported function on this quotient, and let dμjd\mu_j be the measures associated with Laplace eigenfunctions as above. Write tjt_j for the spectral parameters and

f‾=1vol⁡(Γ\Hn)∫Γ\Hnf(z) dμ(z).\overline{f}=\frac{1}{\operatorname{vol}(\Gamma\backslash\mathbb{H}^n)}\int_{\Gamma\backslash\mathbb{H}^n}f(z)\,d\mu(z).

Quantum variance conjecture. One has

∑∣tj∣≤T∣∫Γ\Hnf(z) dμj(z)−f‾∣2=Of(Tqn),qn=qn(Γ)=1+ϵ,\sum_{|t_j|\leq T}\left|\int_{\Gamma\backslash\mathbb{H}^n}f(z)\,d\mu_j(z)-\overline{f}\right|^2=O_f\left(T^{q_n}\right),\qquad q_n=q_n(\Gamma)=1+\epsilon,

for every n≥2n\geq 2. This is described as a weak version of the quantum variance problem. Any upper bound of order o(Tn)o(T^n) would imply quantum ergodicity, but the stated conjecture is far open.

References

Primary source

Christos Katsivelos, “The hyperbolic lattice counting problem in large dimensions”, arXiv:2506.17753 (2025).

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