Convergence of the population's average opinion toward the leaders' average opinion

From papers

Let f(t,A,w)f(t,A,w) be the population distribution, let f(z)f_\ell(z) be the leaders' opinion distribution, and define the population's average opinion and the leaders' average opinion by

mw(t)=R×Iwf(t,A,w)dAdw,μ=Izf(z)dz.m_w(t)=\int_{\mathbb{R}\times I}w f(t,A,w)\,\mathrm{d}A\,\mathrm{d}w,\qquad \mu_\ell=\int_I z f_\ell(z)\,\mathrm{d}z.

Assume that the interaction function satisfies G1G\equiv 1. Convergence conjecture. The average opinion of the population mw(t)m_w(t) converges toward the average opinion of the leaders μ\mu_\ell as t+t\to+\infty:

limt+mw(t)=μ.\lim_{t\to+\infty}m_w(t)=\mu_\ell.

The conjecture concerns the long-time influence of leaders on the population's mean opinion; the preceding evolution equation shows that, for G1G\equiv1, the mean is driven by its difference from the leaders' average opinion. No resolution is supplied in the source.

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Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Andrea Bondesan and Jacopo Borsotti, “Control strategies and trends to equilibrium for kinetic models of opinion dynamics driven by social activity”, arXiv:2506.07840 (2026).

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