Nam–Nguyen–Sly critical-value conjecture for configuration graphs

From papers

Let μ\mu be a probability distribution on the non-negative integers satisfying

k0k(k2)μ(k)>0.\sum_{k\geq 0}k(k-2)\mu(k)>0.

Let (Gn)nN(\mathscr{G}_n)_{n\in\mathbb{N}} be configuration graphs on nn vertices derived from μ\mu, and let Cn\mathscr{C}_n be the maximal component of Gn\mathscr{G}_n. Write T\mathscr{T} for the local limit of (Cn)nN(\mathscr{C}_n)_{n\in\mathbb{N}}, namely the unimodular Bienaymé–Galton–Watson tree associated with μ\mu conditioned on non-extinction. Nam–Nguyen–Sly's critical-value conjecture. The three critical values coincide:

λ((Cn)nN)=λ+((Cn)nN)=λ1(T).\lambda_-\big((\mathscr{C}_n)_{n\in\mathbb{N}}\big)=\lambda_+\big((\mathscr{C}_n)_{n\in\mathbb{N}}\big)=\lambda_{\mathsf 1}(\mathscr{T}).

This conjecture concerns the phase transition and extinction-time behavior of the contact process on the giant component of configuration graphs with a supercritical degree distribution. The cited work of Nam, Nguyen and Sly motivates the conjecture through polynomial extinction times in the subcritical phase; its resolution is not established in the supplied context.

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Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Benedikt Jahnel, Lukas Lüchtrath and Christian Mönch, “Phase transitions for contact processes on sparse random graphs via metastability and local limits”, arXiv:2505.22471 (2026).

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