Average number of realizable one-point extensions of planar chirotopes

Let n3n\geq 3, and choose uniformly at random a planar realizable chirotope χ\chi of size nn. For each realization of χ\chi, count the realizable one-point extensions, and average this count over all realizations of χ\chi. Extension-counting conjecture. There exists a constant cc such that this average number of realizable one-point extensions is at most

cn4.c\cdot n^4.

The conjecture expresses the expectation that a typical realizable order type has its one-point extensions accessible from a common realization at the same polynomial scale as the upper bound for any fixed realization. The supplied text gives no resolution status.

Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Xavier Goaoc and Arnau Padrol, “An asymptotic rigidity property from the realizability of chirotope extensions”, arXiv:2505.14189 (2025).

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