Average number of realizable one-point extensions of planar chirotopes

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Let n≥3n\geq 3, and choose uniformly at random a planar realizable chirotope χ\chi of size nn. For each realization of χ\chi, count the realizable one-point extensions, and average this count over all realizations of χ\chi. Extension-counting conjecture. There exists a constant cc such that this average number of realizable one-point extensions is at most

c⋅n4.c\cdot n^4.

The conjecture expresses the expectation that a typical realizable order type has its one-point extensions accessible from a common realization at the same polynomial scale as the upper bound for any fixed realization. The supplied text gives no resolution status.

References

Primary source

Xavier Goaoc and Arnau Padrol, “An asymptotic rigidity property from the realizability of chirotope extensions”, arXiv:2505.14189 (2025).

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