Mazur's algebraic equidistribution conjecture for Hecke orbits

Let SK(G,X)S_K(G,X) be the Shimura variety under consideration, and let YSK(G,X)Y\subset S_K(G,X) be a positive-dimensional subvariety intersecting the ordinary locus. The Hecke orbit of YY is said to equidistribute when, for every sequence of prime-to-pp Hecke correspondences τi\tau_i with degτi\deg\tau_i\to\infty, the minimal degree of a hypersurface containing τi(Y)\tau_i(Y) tends to infinity. Mazur's algebraic equidistribution conjecture. If YSK(G,X)Y\subset S_K(G,X) is a positive-dimensional subvariety that intersects the ordinary locus, then the Hecke orbit of YY equidistributes. This is an algebraic positive-characteristic analogue of the equidistribution of Hecke orbits used in the characteristic-zero André–Pink–Zannier argument; the source presents it as a reasonable conjecture because no general positive-characteristic analogue of that analytic equidistribution is known.

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Primary source

Yeuk Hay Joshua Lam and Ananth N. Shankar, “A characteristic p analogue of the André–Pink–Zannier conjecture”, arXiv:2505.12521 (2025).

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