Higher-order derivative probability-ratio conjecture in the torus model
Fix . Let be a sufficiently general -element set of edges and let have cardinality . Write and for the corresponding environment derivatives.
Derivative probability-ratio conjecture. There exists a constant such that
This conjecture is identified as the harder estimate needed, for at least one , to improve variance bounds in the torus model. The meanings of “sufficiently general” and the comparison symbol are not defined in the supplied text.
References
Primary source
Ivan Matic, Rados Radoicic and Dan Stefanica, “Higher-order derivatives of first-passage percolation with respect to the environment”, arXiv:2504.08935 (2026).
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