Conjecture on stability and convergence of equilibria in the microbial virus model

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Assume that rκμ1vσr\kappa\mu_1\neq v\sigma and that the (Coex2,3)(\operatorname{Coex}_{2,3})-condition holds, which in particular implies mv>r+vmv>r+v. Let (n1a,n1i,n3)(n_{1a}^*,n_{1i}^*,n_3^*) and (n~2a,n~2d,n~2i,n~3)(\widetilde n_{2a},\widetilde n_{2d},\widetilde n_{2i},\widetilde n_3) denote equilibria of the corresponding three- and four-dimensional virus systems, and let x\mathbf{x} denote the coexistence equilibrium of the six-dimensional system. Stability of the equilibria conjecture. The four assertions (A)--(D) in the source hold: asymptotically stable single-host equilibria attract every solution with strictly positive initial conditions; when both are asymptotically stable, every strictly positive solution of the six-dimensional system converges to the equilibrium selected by the invasion conditions, and that equilibrium is unique and asymptotically stable; under the additional condition nˉ2a<n~2a\bar n_{2a}<\widetilde n_{2a}, the corresponding alternatives and uniqueness assertion also hold. These conjectured global convergence and stability statements extend the proved local and invasion results; the source notes that the required equilibrium stability can fail for large mm through Hopf bifurcations.

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Primary source

Jochen Blath and András Tóbiás, “Emergence of microbial host dormancy during a persistent virus epidemic”, arXiv:2504.04943 (2025).

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