Monotonicity conjecture for final-state probabilities in the Offended Voter Model
Let and be the final states defined in the model's classification, and write for probability under parameter . Monotonicity conjecture. The final-state probabilities satisfy
Thus increasing should decrease the probability of state and increase the probability of consensus state . The paper states this as a suspected monotonicity and provides no proof in the supplied text.
References
Primary source
Raphael Eichhorn, Felix Hermann and Marco Seiler, “The Offended Voter Model”, arXiv:2502.18619 (2025).
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