The Tube Doubling Conjecture

Let n2n\geq 2 and ε>0\varepsilon>0. For sufficiently small δ>0\delta>0, let T\mathbb{T} be a set of δ\delta-tubes in Rn\mathbb{R}^n, and let T~\widetilde T denote the 2-fold dilate of TT. The Tube Doubling Conjecture.

TTT~δεTTT.\left|\bigcup_{T\in\mathbb{T}}\widetilde T\right|\leq\delta^{-\varepsilon}\left|\bigcup_{T\in\mathbb{T}}T\right|.

This expresses that doubling the tubes increases the union volume by at most a sub-polynomial factor. It is known in dimension two, was open in dimensions three and higher in the surrounding discussion, and the paper proves it in R3\mathbb{R}^3.

Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Hong Wang and Joshua Zahl, “Volume estimates for unions of convex sets, and the Kakeya set conjecture in three dimensions”, arXiv:2502.17655 (2025).

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