Zilber–Pink conjecture for Picard numbers in Lefschetz pencils

Let YP1\mathcal{Y}\to\mathbb{P}^1 be a Lefschetz pencil of degree-dd surfaces in P3\mathbb{P}^3. Picard-number finiteness conjecture. If d5d\geq 5, the Picard number of Ys\mathcal{Y}_s is at least 22 for at most finitely many values of sP1(C)s\in\mathbb{P}^1(\mathbb{C}). This is an analogue of the preceding unlikely-intersection prediction for the Noether–Lefschetz locus; the supplied text gives no resolution status.

Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Gregorio Baldi, “What makes an algebraic curve special?”, arXiv:2502.06366 (2025).

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