Polarisation conjecture for the co-evolutionary opinion model

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Let u∈[0,1]u\in[0,1], let v⃗(t,u)=(f+(t,u),f−(t,u))⊤\vec{v}(t,u)=(f_+(t,u),f_-(t,u))^\top be the vector of opinion densities, and let π+g,π−g,π+r,π−r∈[0,1]\pi^g_+,\pi^g_-,\pi^r_+,\pi^r_-\in[0,1] and q∈Nq\in\mathbb N be the model parameters. Consider choices of parameters not covered by Theorem (i). Polarisation conjecture. For every u∈[0,1]u\in[0,1], the following statements hold. If π+g=π−r\pi^g_+=\pi^r_- and π+r=π−g\pi^r_+=\pi^g_-, then for every q∈Nq\in\mathbb N there are unique limiting densities f+f_+ and f−f_- corresponding either to consensus as in --, or to different levels of polarisation depending on qq, with

∫01d⁡u f+(∞,u)=∫01d⁡u f−(∞,u)=12,\int_0^1 \operatorname{d}u\,f_+(\infty,u)=\int_0^1 \operatorname{d}u\,f_-(\infty,u)=\dfrac{1}{2},

and the density of edges connecting vertices with different opinions is a non-zero monotone decreasing function of qq. In the limit q→∞q\to\infty, only consensus occurs as in --, or strong polarisation is admissible, namely

lim⁡q→∞lim⁡t→∞v⃗(t,u)=12(δ1(u)delta0(u)),\lim_{q\to\infty}\lim_{t\to\infty}\vec{v}(t,u)=\dfrac{1}{2}\begin{pmatrix}\delta_1(u)\\delta_0(u)\end{pmatrix},

and the density of edges connecting vertices with different opinions is zero. Moreover, if π+g,π−r,π+r,π−g∈(0,1)\pi^g_+,\pi^r_-,\pi^r_+,\pi^g_-\in(0,1), then the density of edges connecting vertices with the same opinion also tends to zero as q→∞q\to\infty, but more slowly than the density of disagreeing edges. The conjecture is presented as a proposed completion of the large-time limiting picture in the co-evolutionary setting; the preceding theorems establish only the parameter regimes covered by them, leaving these complementary regimes unresolved.

References

Primary source

Simone Baldassarri, Peter Braunsteins, Frank den Hollander and Michel Mandjes, “Opinion dynamics on dense dynamic random graphs”, arXiv:2410.14618 (2024).

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