The isolation-by-distance central limit conjecture under varying population size
Let and let . Write for the scaling factor, for the isolation-by-distance quantity, for the limiting fluctuation field, for the limiting population-density field, and for the indicator appearing in the pairing. Isolation-by-distance central limit conjecture. For any and any , one has
When the population size is constant, the corresponding limit can be obtained using dominated convergence. For varying population size, the authors explain that a technicality prevents this argument under their current formulation; thus the conjectured limit remains unresolved in the stated generality.
References
Primary source
Raphaël Forien and Bastian Wiederhold, “Central limit theorems describing isolation by distance under varying population size”, arXiv:2407.10211 (2025).
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