Higher Θ\Theta-stratification by hh-invariant of Fano varieties

Let SS be a finite type \mathbbmk\mathbbm{k}-scheme and let π ⁣:XS\pi\colon\mathcal{X}\to S be a Q\mathbb{Q}-Gorenstein family whose hh-invariants and volumes are constant on closed fibers. Let NN be a finite-rank free abelian group, let τNR\tau\subset N\otimes\mathbb{R} be a rational polyhedral cone, and let UτU_\tau be the affine toric variety corresponding to NRτN_{\mathbb{R}}\supset\tau; write Δξ\Delta_\xi for the NN-spectrum in §2\S 2. For positive integer nn, positive real number VV, and real number hh, let Mn,V,h+\mathcal{M}_{n,V,h^+} be the finite-type moduli Artin stack of nn-dimensional Q\mathbb{Q}-Fano varieties with anticanonical volume (KX)n=V(-K_X)^n=V and h(X)hh(X)\geq h, with finite stratification {Mn,V,h}hh\{\mathcal{M}_{n,V,h'}\}_{h'\geq h} by the values of h(X)h(X). Higher Θ\Theta-stratification conjecture. The hh-invariants of Q\mathbb{Q}-Fano families and their corresponding first-step degenerations satisfy the following properties: (1) there exist NN, τ\tau, and ξS\xi\in S and a Q\mathbb{Q}-Gorenstein family π~ ⁣:X~Uτ×S\tilde{\pi}\colon\tilde{\mathcal{X}}\to U_\tau\times S restricting to π\pi and to the corresponding first-step degeneration of each XsX_s on the specified loci; and (2) Mn,V,h+\mathcal{M}_{n,V,h^+} and its natural finite stratification admit an étale-locally liftable higher Θ\Theta-stratification encoding these first-step degenerations. This predicts a higher-\ Θ\Theta-stratified structure on bounded moduli of Q\mathbb{Q}-Fano varieties compatible with first-step degenerations, extending properness methods for K-moduli of shrinking Kähler–Ricci solitons. The source presents these properties as expected analogues of existing results, and gives no resolution of the conjecture.

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Primary source

Yuji Odaka, “Stability theory over toroidal or Novikov type base and Canonical modifications”, arXiv:2406.02489 (2025).

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