Critical-moment growth conjecture for directed polymers

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Let WnβW_n^\beta be the normalized partition function at time nn, let p∗(β)p^*(\beta) be the critical moment exponent, and suppose weak disorder holds. Define

κ(β):=min⁡(1,d2(p∗(β)−1)−1)∈[0,1].\kappa(\beta):=\min\left(1,\frac{d}{2}\bigl(p^*(\beta)-1\bigr)-1\right)\in[0,1].

Critical-moment growth conjecture. The critical moment satisfies

E[(Wnβ)p∗(β)]=nκ(β)+o(1)as n→∞.{{\mathbb E}}\left[(W_n^\beta)^{p^*(\beta)}\right]=n^{\kappa(\beta)+o(1)}\quad\text{as }n\to\infty.

The conjecture seeks a sharper description than the currently established at-most-linear growth and connects the critical moment to the critical behavior of the model. The source gives no resolution.

References

Primary source

Stefan Junk and Hubert Lacoin, “The tail distribution of the partition function for directed polymer in the weak disorder phase”, arXiv:2405.04335 (2025).

Additional references

3 papers in this index state this conjecture (2017–2024). The statement above is taken from the most recent of them; the others are arXiv:2112.05672, arXiv:1705.04787.

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