The finer first-passage-time asymptotic conjecture for branching random walks

Let BxB_x be the shifted unit ball at Euclidean distance xx from the origin, let τx\tau_x denote the first passage time of the branching random walk to BxB_x, and let c^1\widehat{c}_1 and II be the constants and rate function defined under assumptions (A1)--(A4), or under (A1), (A2), (A5), and (A6). For d2d\geqslant 2, conditioned upon survival, the finer first-passage-time asymptotic conjecture.

τx=A(x)+OP(1)=xc^1+d+22c^1x1I(c^1,0)logx+OP(1),\tau_x=A(x)+O_\mathbb{P}(1)=\frac{x}{\widehat{c}_1}+\frac{d+2}{2\,\widehat{c}_1\partial_{x_1}I(\widehat{c}_1,\mathbf{0})}\,\log x+O_\mathbb{P}(1),

where the OP(1)O_\mathbb{P}(1) term is tight. This conjecture refines the established linear-plus-logarithmic first-passage-time asymptotic for branching random walks, analogously to the finer asymptotic known for branching Brownian motion; the claimed tightness of the remainder remains open.

Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Jose Blanchet, Wei Cai, Shaswat Mohanty and Zhenyuan Zhang, “On the First Passage Times of Branching Random Walks in R^d”, arXiv:2404.09064 (2026).

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