Small two-terminal connection probabilities force a negligible three-way connection

Let aa, bb, and cc be vertices, and let P(abc)\mathbf{P}(ab\\|c), P(acb)\mathbf{P}(ac\\|b), P(abc)\mathbf{P}(abc), and P(abc)\mathbf{P}(a\\|b\\|c) denote the corresponding bond-percolation event probabilities. First conjecture. For any ε>0\varepsilon > 0 there exists δ>0\delta > 0 such that if P(abc)<δ\mathbf{P}(ab\\|c) < \delta and P(acb)<δ\mathbf{P}(ac\\|b) < \delta, then P(abc)\mathbf{P}(abc) or P(abc)\mathbf{P}(a\\|b\\|c) is less than ε\varepsilon. This asks for a stability version of the zero-probability implication established earlier: simultaneous smallness of the two connection probabilities should force one of the two remaining probabilities to be small.

Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Nikita Gladkov and Aleksandr Zimin, “Bond percolation does not simulate site percolation”, arXiv:2404.08873 (2026).

Progress summary

Never refreshed

Nothing recorded yet. Refresh searches the literature and the public web for attempts on this problem, and writes the first summary here.

Solutions 0

No solutions have been posted yet.