Small two-terminal connection probabilities force a negligible three-way connection
Let , , and be vertices, and let , , , and denote the corresponding bond-percolation event probabilities. First conjecture. For any there exists such that if and , then or is less than . This asks for a stability version of the zero-probability implication established earlier: simultaneous smallness of the two connection probabilities should force one of the two remaining probabilities to be small.
References
Primary source
Nikita Gladkov and Aleksandr Zimin, “Bond percolation does not simulate site percolation”, arXiv:2404.08873 (2026).
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