Distributional convergence conjecture for final infection sizes

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Consider the competing long-range infection model and the notation of the theorem concerning absence of coexistence, including the final-size quantity MnM_n and the parameter ZnZ_n. Let E1,E2E_1,E_2 be independent rate-one exponential random variables. If cn=(c+o(1))log⁡nc_n=(c+o(1))\log n for some c∈Rc\in\mathbb R and ∣cn∣→∞|c_n|\to\infty, then

Mnn−min⁡{Zn,1/Zn}⟶dE1E2−1/(∣c∣+1).M_n n^{-\min\{Z_n,1/Z_n\}}\overset{d}{\longrightarrow}E_1E_2^{-1/(|c|+1)}.

If instead cn→c∈Rc_n\to c\in\mathbb R, then

Mnn⟶dE1E1+E2ec.\frac{M_n}{n}\overset{d}{\longrightarrow}\frac{E_1}{E_1+E_2\mathrm e^c}.

These are proposed stronger distributional results in regimes where coexistence or the relevant case of absence of coexistence occurs. The paper explicitly says that the authors are unable to prove the weaker result in the convergent-cnc_n regime, so the conjecture remains open.

References

Primary source

Bas Lodewijks and Neeladri Maitra, “Long-range competition on the torus”, arXiv:2403.05536 (2025).

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