Distributional convergence conjecture for final infection sizes

Consider the competing long-range infection model and the notation of the theorem concerning absence of coexistence, including the final-size quantity MnM_n and the parameter ZnZ_n. Let E1,E2E_1,E_2 be independent rate-one exponential random variables. If cn=(c+o(1))lognc_n=(c+o(1))\log n for some cRc\in\mathbb R and cn|c_n|\to\infty, then

Mnnmin{Zn,1/Zn}dE1E21/(c+1).M_n n^{-\min\{Z_n,1/Z_n\}}\overset{d}{\longrightarrow}E_1E_2^{-1/(|c|+1)}.

If instead cncRc_n\to c\in\mathbb R, then

MnndE1E1+E2ec.\frac{M_n}{n}\overset{d}{\longrightarrow}\frac{E_1}{E_1+E_2\mathrm e^c}.

These are proposed stronger distributional results in regimes where coexistence or the relevant case of absence of coexistence occurs. The paper explicitly says that the authors are unable to prove the weaker result in the convergent-cnc_n regime, so the conjecture remains open.

Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Bas Lodewijks and Neeladri Maitra, “Long-range competition on the torus”, arXiv:2403.05536 (2025).

Progress summary

Never refreshed

Nothing recorded yet. Refresh searches the literature and the public web for attempts on this problem, and writes the first summary here.

Solutions 0

No solutions have been posted yet.