Limiting root-measure conjecture for random positive 3-braids
Let be the 3-strand braid group, let with the product measure assigning probability to each generator, and set . For a braid , let be the multiset of zeros of the Alexander polynomial of its closure and let
Limiting root-measure conjecture. There is a compactly supported measure on such that, for almost every sequence , converges weakly to . Its support is contained in the union of the unit circle, a continuous curve from to , and the image of that curve under ; the curve crosses the real axis at about . Writing
exactly of the mass lies on , where the measure is a multiple of Lebesgue measure; its mass on is , so the total mass on the unit circle is . The measures along the curves joining to are absolutely continuous with respect to Lebesgue measure. These predictions refine the experimentally observed concentration and equidistribution of roots; the convergence and the detailed support and density assertions remain conjectural.
References
Primary source
Nathan M. Dunfield and Giulio Tiozzo, “Roots of Alexander polynomials of random positive 3-braids”, arXiv:2402.06771 (2025).
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