The time-inhomogeneous branching random walk asymptotic conjecture

Let LsL_s be the offspring point process at time ss, let κs\kappa_s be its log-Laplace transform, and let κs\kappa_s^* be the Fenchel–Legendre transform. Assume that the greatest root vsv_s of κs(v)=0\kappa_s^*(v)=0 is well-defined for every s[0,1]s\in[0,1], and define

vnat=01vsds,v_{\mathrm{nat}}=\int_0^1v_s\,\mathrm{d}s,

with θs=vκs(vs)\theta_s=\partial_v\kappa_s^*(v_s) and σs2=1/v2κs(vs)\sigma_s^2=1/\partial_v^2\kappa_s^*(v_s). Let N(T)=eL(T)N(T)=e^{L(T)}, and let XTN(T)\mathcal{X}^{N(T)}_T be the generation-TT configuration of an N(T)N(T)-branching random walk started from one particle at the origin, with offspring distributions (Lt/T)(\mathcal{L}_{t/T}).

Time-inhomogeneous branching random walk asymptotic conjecture. If L(T)αT1/3L(T)\sim\alpha T^{1/3} for αR\alpha\in\mathbb{R}, then

max(XTN(T))=vnatT+[01θsσs2α2Ψ(α3θ˙sθs3σs2)ds]T1/3+oP(T1/3).\max\big(\mathcal{X}^{N(T)}_T\big)=v_{\mathrm{nat}}T+\left[\int_0^1\frac{\theta_s\sigma_s^2}{\alpha^2}\Psi\left(\frac{\alpha^3\dot\theta_s}{\theta_s^3\sigma_s^2}\right)\,\mathrm{d}s\right]T^{1/3}+o_{\mathbb{P}}(T^{1/3}).

If 1L(T)T1/31\ll L(T)\ll T^{1/3}, then

max(XTN(T))=vnatT(π2201θsσs2ds)TL(T)2+oP(TL(T)2).\max\big(\mathcal{X}^{N(T)}_T\big)=v_{\mathrm{nat}}T-\left(\frac{\pi^2}{2}\int_0^1\theta_s\sigma_s^2\,\mathrm{d}s\right)\frac{T}{L(T)^2}+o_{\mathbb{P}}\left(\frac{T}{L(T)^2}\right).

If T1/3L(T)TT^{1/3}\ll L(T)\ll T, then

max(XTN(T))=vnatT+[01(θ˙s)θs2ds]L(T)+oP(L(T)),\max\big(\mathcal{X}^{N(T)}_T\big)=v_{\mathrm{nat}}T+\left[\int_0^1\frac{(\dot\theta_s)^-}{\theta_s^2}\,\mathrm{d}s\right]L(T)+o_{\mathbb{P}}(L(T)),

where ()(\cdot)^- denotes the negative part; if additionally θ˙s0\dot\theta_s\geq0 for all s[0,1]s\in[0,1], then

max(XTN(T))=vnatTa121/3[01(θ˙sσs)2/3θsds]T1/3+oP(T1/3).\max\big(\mathcal{X}^{N(T)}_T\big)=v_{\mathrm{nat}}T-\frac{\mathrm{a}_1}{2^{1/3}}\left[\int_0^1\frac{(\dot\theta_s\sigma_s)^{2/3}}{\theta_s}\,\mathrm{d}s\right]T^{1/3}+o_{\mathbb{P}}(T^{1/3}).

These formulas are conjectured extensions of the Gaussian NN-particle branching Brownian motion results to general branching random walks; the regimes L(T)T1/3L(T)\ll T^{1/3} and T1/3L(T)TT^{1/3}\ll L(T)\ll T are covered, while the linear regime L(T)TL(T)\asymp T is treated separately.

Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Alexandre Legrand and Pascal Maillard, “Time-inhomogeneous N-particle Branching Brownian Motion and the continuous random energy model”, arXiv:2402.04917 (2026).

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