Refined Kim's conjecture for the thrice-punctured line

Let SS be a finite set of primes, let X=P1{0,1,}X=\mathbb P^1\smallsetminus\{0,1,\infty\}, and let pSp\notin S be a prime. For each depth n1n\geq 1, write X(Zp)S,nminX(\mathbb Z_p)_{S,n}^{\min} for the refined Chabauty--Kim locus and let X(ZS)X(\mathbb Z_S) denote the set of SS-integral points. Refined Kim's conjecture. One has

X(Zp)S,nmin=X(ZS)X(\mathbb Z_p)_{S,n}^{\min}=X(\mathbb Z_S)

for n0n\gg0. The refined locus contains the SS-integral points by construction; the conjecture asserts that sufficiently deep refined Chabauty--Kim computations recover exactly the integral points. The paper verifies the corresponding conjecture over Z[1/6]\mathbb Z[1/6] computationally for all auxiliary primes p<10,000p<10{,}000, but the general assertion remains open.

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Primary source

Martin Lüdtke, “Refined Chabauty–Kim computations for the thrice-punctured line over Z[1/6]”, arXiv:2402.03573 (2024).

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