Silverman's arithmetic-order trichotomy conjecture

Let X/KX/K be a smooth projective variety over a number field, let HH be a Weil height associated to an ample divisor, and define the arithmetic order A(X)\mathsf{A}(X) using the iterated-logarithm height-counting limit in the source. Silverman's arithmetic-order trichotomy conjecture. The arithmetic order A(X)\mathsf{A}(X) exists and satisfies

A(X)=0orA(X)=1orA(X)=.\mathsf{A}(X)=0\quad\text{or}\quad\mathsf{A}(X)=1\quad\text{or}\quad\mathsf{A}(X)=\infty.

Equivalently, height counting has, up to lower-order terms, one of three coarse regimes: power growth in TT, power growth in logT\log T, or bounded growth. The source attributes this conjecture to Silverman and gives no resolution.

Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Hector Pasten and Joseph H. Silverman, “Propagation of Zariski Dense Orbits”, arXiv:2307.12097 (2024).

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