Conjecture on the supremum tail function for Rademacher sums on [√2,2]

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Let X\mathcal{X} be the class of all Rademacher sums with variance 11, and define

F(x)=sup⁡X∈XP(X>x),x∈R.F(x)=\sup_{X\in\mathcal{X}}\mathbb{P}(X>x),\qquad x\in\mathbb{R}.

Conjecture for FF on [2,2][\sqrt{2},2]. For x∈[2,2]x\in[\sqrt{2},2],

F(x)=18for x∈[2,3),F(x)=\frac{1}{8}\quad\text{for }x\in[\sqrt{2},\sqrt{3}), F(x)=116for x∈[3,2),F(x)=\frac{1}{16}\quad\text{for }x\in[\sqrt{3},2),

and

F(2)=9256.F(2)=\frac{9}{256}.

The conjecture extends the known result F(x)=1/4F(x)=1/4 for x∈[1,2)x\in[1,\sqrt{2}) to larger values of xx. Determining F(x)F(x) for large xx remains beyond current techniques, and the proposed values on this interval are stated as open in the source.

References

Primary source

Lawrence Hollom and Julien Portier, “Tight lower bounds for anti-concentration of Rademacher sums and Tomaszewski's counterpart problem”, arXiv:2306.07811 (2023).

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