Conjecture on the supremum tail function for Rademacher sums on [√2,2]

Let X\mathcal{X} be the class of all Rademacher sums with variance 11, and define

F(x)=supXXP(X>x),xR.F(x)=\sup_{X\in\mathcal{X}}\mathbb{P}(X>x),\qquad x\in\mathbb{R}.

Conjecture for FF on [2,2][\sqrt{2},2]. For x[2,2]x\in[\sqrt{2},2],

F(x)=18for x[2,3),F(x)=\frac{1}{8}\quad\text{for }x\in[\sqrt{2},\sqrt{3}), F(x)=116for x[3,2),F(x)=\frac{1}{16}\quad\text{for }x\in[\sqrt{3},2),

and

F(2)=9256.F(2)=\frac{9}{256}.

The conjecture extends the known result F(x)=1/4F(x)=1/4 for x[1,2)x\in[1,\sqrt{2}) to larger values of xx. Determining F(x)F(x) for large xx remains beyond current techniques, and the proposed values on this interval are stated as open in the source.

Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Lawrence Hollom and Julien Portier, “Tight lower bounds for anti-concentration of Rademacher sums and Tomaszewski's counterpart problem”, arXiv:2306.07811 (2023).

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