Gaunt–Merkle conjectured bounds for the median of the variance-gamma distribution

From papers

Let XVG(r,θ,σ,μ)X\sim\mathrm{VG}(r,\theta,\sigma,\mu) with r,θ,σ>0r,\theta,\sigma>0, and let Med(X)\mathrm{Med}(X) denote its median. The parameters rr, θ\theta, σ\sigma, and μ\mu are the shape, skewness, scale, and location parameters, respectively.

Gaunt–Merkle median bounds conjecture. For r>0r>0,

μ+(r1)θ<Med(X)<μ+rθe2/3r<μ+(r23+29r)θ,\mu+(r-1)\theta<\mathrm{Med}(X)<\mu+r\theta \mathrm{e}^{-2/3r}<\mu+\left(r-\frac{2}{3}+\frac{2}{9r}\right)\theta,

and, for r2r\geq 2,

Med(X)μ+(r+2log22)θ.\mathrm{Med}(X)\leq\mu+(r+2\log 2-2)\theta.

Exact median formulas are available for some parameter values, but no general closed-form formula is known. The conjectured bounds are supported by numerical results, while accurate general bounds for the median remain unresolved.

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Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Adrian Fischer, Robert E. Gaunt and Andrey Sarantsev, “The Variance-Gamma Distribution: A Review”, arXiv:2303.05615 (2023).

Additional references

2 papers in this index state this conjecture (2021–2023). The statement above is taken from the most recent of them; the others are arXiv:2106.02897.

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