The squarefree-level degree-count conjecture for weight 2 newforms

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Let dd be a positive integer, let XX tend to infinity, and count weight 22 newforms of degree dd and squarefree level N≤XN\leq X, up to the counting convention used in the paper. Squarefree-level degree-count conjecture. For every ε>0\varepsilon>0, the number of such newforms is

O ⁣(X1−d/6+ε).O\!\left(X^{1-d/6+\varepsilon}\right).

In particular, this number is finite if d≥7d\geq 7. The conjecture refines heuristic and empirical predictions for the distribution of degrees; the paper presents data supporting it, while noting that the actual growth rate may be smaller.

References

Primary source

Alex Cowan and Kimball Martin, “Counting modular forms by rationality field”, arXiv:2301.10357 (2024).

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