Batyrev--Manin--Peyre--Tschinkel conjecture for rational points

Let κ\kappa be a number field and let XX be a smooth Fano variety over κ\kappa. Let L=(L,{v})\mathcal{L}=(L,\{\|\cdot\|_v\}) be an adelically metrized big and nef Q\mathbb{Q}-divisor, let a(X,L)a(X,L) be the Fujita invariant, and let b(κ,X,L)b(\kappa,X,L) be the bb-invariant. A subset of X(κ)X(\kappa) is thin if it is contained in a finite union of images of thin maps. Batyrev--Manin--Peyre--Tschinkel conjecture. If X(κ)X(\kappa) is not thin, then there exists a thin set ZX(κ)Z\subset X(\kappa) such that

N(X(κ)Z,L,T)c(κ,L,Z)Ta(X,L)(logT)b(κ,X,L)1N(X(\kappa)\setminus Z,\mathcal{L},T)\sim c(\kappa,\mathcal{L},Z)T^{a(X,L)}(\log T)^{b(\kappa,X,L)-1}

as TT\to\infty.

The conjecture predicts the asymptotic growth of rational points after removing an exceptional thin set; the leading constant is Peyre's constant. Its general validity remains open.

Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Brian Lehmann, Eric Riedl and Sho Tanimoto, “Non-free sections of Fano fibrations”, arXiv:2301.01695 (2025).

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