The variance asymptotic conjecture for squarefull numbers in short intervals

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Let Q(t)Q(t) denote the number of squarefull numbers at most tt. Given ϵ>0\epsilon > 0, X>1X > 1 and H<X1/2−ϵH < X^{1/2 - \epsilon}, set

y=2xH+H2.y = 2\sqrt{x}H+H^2.

Variance asymptotic conjecture. The variance of the count of squarefull numbers in these intervals satisfies

1X∫X2X∣Q(x+y)−Q(x)−ζ(3/2)ζ(3)H∣2dx∼ζ(4/3)ζ(2)∫0∞(sin⁡πyπy)2y1/3dy⋅H2/3.\frac{1}{X} \int_{X}^{2 X} \Big|Q(x + y) - Q(x) - \frac{\zeta(3/2)}{\zeta(3)} H \Big|^2 dx \sim \frac{\zeta(4/3)}{\zeta(2)} \int_{0}^{\infty} \Bigl(\frac{\sin \pi y}{\pi y}\Bigr)^2 y^{1/3} dy \cdot H^{2/3}.

This conjecture predicts the true order and leading constant for the variance, improving substantially on the paper's upper bound. The stated range is that of the conjecture; the source gives no resolution, so it remains open.

References

Primary source

Tsz Ho Chan, “Variance of Squarefull Numbers in Short Intervals”, arXiv:2205.12108 (2023).

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