Kahn–Marković asymptotic counting conjecture for surface subgroups

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For a hyperbolic 33-manifold MM, let S(M,g)S(M,g) denote the number of conjugacy classes of surface subgroups in π1(M)\pi_1(M) of genus gg. Kahn–Marković's conjecture. There exists a constant c(M)c(M) depending only on MM such that

lim⁡g→∞1g(S(M,g))12g=c(M).\lim_{g\to\infty}\frac{1}{g}\left(S(M,g)\right)^{\frac{1}{2g}}=c(M).

This refines the known estimate lim⁡g→∞log⁡(S(M,g))2glog⁡(g)=1\lim_{g\to\infty}\frac{\log(S(M,g))}{2g\log(g)}=1 and is conjectured also for counts of commensurability classes; the precise asymptotic remains unresolved.

References

Primary source

François Labourie, “Asymptotic counting of minimal surfaces in hyperbolic manifolds [according to Calegari, Marques and Neves]”, arXiv:2203.09366 (2022).

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