Ghosh–Sarnak conjecture on the number of Hasse failures for Markoff surfaces

For each integer mm, let Um\mathcal{U}_m denote the corresponding integral Markoff surface, and let AZ\mathbb{A}_{\mathbb{Z}} denote the adelic space used to formulate the integral Hasse principle. Ghosh–Sarnak's conjecture. The number of integers mm with 0mM0\leq m\leq M for which Um\mathcal{U}_m has adelic integral points but no integral point satisfies

#{mZ:0mM, Um(AZ) but Um(Z)=}C0Mθ,\#\left\{m\in\mathbb{Z}:0\leq m\leq M,\ \mathcal{U}_m(\mathbb{A}_{\mathbb{Z}})\neq\emptyset\ \text{but}\ \mathcal{U}_m(\mathbb{Z})=\emptyset\right\}\approx C_0M^\theta,

for some C0>0C_0>0 and some 12<θ<1\frac12<\theta<1. The conjecture concerns the asymptotic frequency of integral Hasse failures. The supplied status evidence says that it is disproved; consequently, the asserted asymptotic is not correct as stated.

Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Quang-Duc Dao, “Brauer-Manin obstruction for integral points on Markoff-type cubic surfaces”, arXiv:2202.07142 (2023).

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