Finiteness conjecture for crepant-birational fibres of maximal-variation fibrations

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Let XX be a Q\mathbb{Q}-factorial variety, and let f ⁣:(X,Δ)→Yf\colon(X,\Delta)\to Y be a klt-trivial fibration of maximal variation. Write Δh\Delta^h for the horizontal part of Δ\Delta.

Finiteness conjecture. There is an open set U⊆YU\subseteq Y such that for every y∈Uy\in U the set

{z∈U∣  (f−1y,Δh∣f−1y)  is crepant birational to  (f−1z,Δh∣f−1z)}\{z\in U\vert\; (f^{-1}y,\Delta^h\vert_{f^{-1}y})\; \text{is crepant birational to}\; (f^{-1}z,\Delta^h\vert_{f^{-1}z}) \}

is finite.

This expected finiteness property links maximal variation with the birational moduli of the fibres. The source presents it as conjectural and does not state a general proof.

References

Primary source

Enrica Floris, “On the restriction of the moduli part to a reduced divisor”, arXiv:2111.03373 (2022).

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