Conjecture on fluctuations of singular derivative Gibbs functionals

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Let Zt(F)Z_t(F) be the functional of the derivative Gibbs measure associated with branching Brownian motion, and suppose that F(x)∼x−αF(x)\sim x^{-\alpha} as x→0x\to0 for some α\alpha satisfying 2<α<32<\alpha<3. Fluctuation-order conjecture. The fluctuations of Zt(F)Z_t(F) are of order tβt^{\beta} for some β\beta satisfying

−12<β<0.-\frac12<\beta<0.

The conjecture concerns the regime between the established t−1/2t^{-1/2} fluctuation scale for α<2\alpha<2 and the expected order-one fluctuations when α>3\alpha>3, where the functional is supported by extremal particles. The appropriate fluctuation exponent in the intermediate regime remains open.

References

Primary source

Pascal Maillard and Michel Pain, “1-stable fluctuations in branching Brownian motion at critical temperature II: general functionals”, arXiv:2103.10412 (2026).

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