The conformal-limit interface probability conjecture for critical site percolation

Let Ωh\Omega_h be a polygon whose boundary consists of edges of a hexagonal lattice of meshsize hh, with distinct side midpoints ah,bha_h,b_h and lattice-edge midpoints uh,vhu_h,v_h. Color each hexagon independently black or white with probability 1/21/2. For each coloring, let γ\gamma be the interface from aha_h to bhb_h such that hexagons on its left are white and those on its right are black, and define P(uhvh,ahbh)P(u_h\cdots v_h,a_h\leftrightarrow b_h) and P(ahbh,uhvh)P(a_h\leftrightarrow b_h,u_h\cdots v_h) as the probabilities that uh,vhu_h,v_h lie in the same component to the left and right of γ\gamma, respectively. Interface probability conjecture. As h0h\to0 and (Ωh,ah,bh,uh,vh)(\Omega_h,a_h,b_h,u_h,v_h) approaches the unit circle with boundary points a,ba,b and points u,va,bu,v\ne a,b in the Carathéodory sense, the difference of these probabilities converges to

2Γ(2/3)πΓ(1/6)Im(1+η1η2F1(12,23;32;(1+η1η)2)),\frac{2\Gamma(2/3)}{\sqrt{\pi}\Gamma(1/6)}\operatorname{Im}\left(\frac{1+\eta}{1-\eta}\,{}_2F_{1}\left(\frac{1}{2},\frac{2}{3};\frac{3}{2};\left(\frac{1+\eta}{1-\eta}\right)^2\right)\right),

where

η=aubu1bvˉ1avˉ,\eta=\frac{a-u}{b-u}\cdot\frac{1-b\bar v}{1-a\bar v},

and 2F1{}_2F_{1} is the branch on C[1,+)\mathbb{C}-[1,+\infty) analytically continued from D2D^2, with cut values taken from the upper or lower half-plane according to whether u,vu,v lie on the counterclockwise or clockwise boundary arc abab. This is a precise scaling-limit prediction for an interface observable in critical percolation. The supplied text gives no resolution, so the conjectured convergence remains open.

Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Mikhail Skopenkov, “Lattice gauge theory and a random-medium Ising model”, arXiv:2012.02591 (2020).

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