The conformal-limit interface probability conjecture for critical site percolation
The conformal-limit interface probability conjecture for critical site percolation
Let be a polygon whose boundary consists of edges of a hexagonal lattice of meshsize , with distinct side midpoints and lattice-edge midpoints . Color each hexagon independently black or white with probability . For each coloring, let be the interface from to such that hexagons on its left are white and those on its right are black, and define and as the probabilities that lie in the same component to the left and right of , respectively. Interface probability conjecture. As and approaches the unit circle with boundary points and points in the Carathéodory sense, the difference of these probabilities converges to
where
and is the branch on analytically continued from , with cut values taken from the upper or lower half-plane according to whether lie on the counterclockwise or clockwise boundary arc . This is a precise scaling-limit prediction for an interface observable in critical percolation. The supplied text gives no resolution, so the conjectured convergence remains open.
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Primary source
Mikhail Skopenkov, “Lattice gauge theory and a random-medium Ising model”, arXiv:2012.02591 (2020).
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