Conjectures on bistable and endemic behavior in the simplicial SIS model

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Let AA be the irreducible infection matrix, let β1\beta_1 and β2\beta_2 denote the pairwise and higher-order infection parameters, and let Γ\Gamma be the diagonal recovery-rate matrix. The simplicial SIS model has the disease-free equilibrium x=\mathbbold0nx^*=\mathbbold{0}_n, and its bistable, endemic, and disease-free domains are determined by the model parameters.

Behaviors in the bistable and endemic domains. For the simplicial SIS model, in the bistable domain and at fixed β2\beta_2, the domain of attraction of the disease-free equilibrium x=\mathbbold0nx^*=\mathbbold{0}_n decreases as β1\beta_1 increases. Once

β1=1ρ(Γ1A),\beta_1=\frac{1}{\rho(\Gamma^{-1}A)},

a bifurcation occurs and the origin becomes an unstable equilibrium point in the endemic domain. In the endemic domain, the endemic equilibrium is unique and globally stable for any value of β2\beta_2.

These conjectures are motivated by numerical simulations and are consistent with the behavior observed in the scalar model. The stated global uniqueness and stability in the endemic domain, as well as the precise change in the disease-free equilibrium's domain of attraction across the bifurcation threshold, remain open in the source.

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Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Pedro Cisneros-Velarde and Francesco Bullo, “Multi-group SIS Epidemics with Simplicial and Higher-Order Interactions”, arXiv:2005.11404 (2021).

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