Goldston–Montgomery conjecture on the variance of primes in short intervals

Let Λ(n)\Lambda(n) denote the von Mangoldt function. For δ(0,1)\delta\in(0,1), set H=XδH=X^\delta. Goldston–Montgomery conjecture. As XX\to\infty,

1X0X(x<nx+HΛ(n)H)2dxH(logXlogH).\frac{1}{X}\int_0^X\left(\sum_{x<n\leq x+H}\Lambda(n)-H\right)^2\,dx\sim H(\log X-\log H).

This predicts the variance of sums of the von Mangoldt function in short intervals and is connected with the local spacing of zeros of the Riemann zeta function. It is stronger than the Riemann hypothesis according to the source, but its resolution is not supplied here.

Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Vivian Kuperberg, Brad Rodgers and Edva Roditty-Gershon, “Sums of singular series and primes in short intervals in algebraic number fields”, arXiv:2001.09513 (2020).

Additional references

4 papers in this index state this conjecture (2015–2020). The statement above is taken from the most recent of them; the others are arXiv:1703.09190, arXiv:1609.02967, arXiv:1506.03741.

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