Containment probability conjecture for random permutations

Let kk be a positive integer. Let π\pi be a permutation of length kk, let n=1000k2n=1000k^2, and let σ\sigma be a uniformly random permutation of length nn. Containment probability conjecture. The probability that σ\sigma does not contain π\pi satisfies

Pr(πσ)exp(k3/2+o(1)).\Pr(\pi\notin\sigma)\leq \exp\bigl(-k^{3/2+o(1)}\bigr).

This would imply that a typical permutation of length 1000k21000k^2 is kk-universal. The paper gives supporting bounds for very quasirandom and highly structured patterns, while hybrid patterns remain the main obstacle.

Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Xiaoyu He and Matthew Kwan, “Universality of random permutations”, arXiv:1911.12878 (2020).

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