Conjecture on eigenvalues of the reduced spectral covariance matrix

From papers

Let \IGammayy\IGamma_{yy} and \bGammayyx\bGamma_{yy|x} be the matrices arising from the single-regression Granger-causality estimator, and let λi\lambda_i denote the eigenvalues of \IGammayy\bGammayyx\IGamma_{yy}\bGamma_{yy|x}, for i=1,,pnyi=1,\ldots,pn_y. The process is assumed to be purely nondeterministic, so these eigenvalues are positive. Eigenvalue conjecture. The eigenvalues satisfy

λi1for i=1,,pny.\lambda_i \le 1 \quad\text{for } i=1,\ldots,pn_y.

This bound would constrain the shape of the Gamma approximation to the estimator's sampling distribution. The source reports extensive empirical testing but no rigorous proof, so the conjecture remains open.

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Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

A. J. Gutknecht and L. Barnett, “Sampling distribution for single-regression Granger causality estimators”, arXiv:1911.09625 (2021).

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