Conjecture on distinct critical points for two-dimensional linear Gaussian covariance models

From papers

Let AA and BB be generic matrices defining the two-dimensional linear Gaussian covariance model MA,B\mathcal{M}_{A,B}, and let SS be a generic sample covariance matrix. The score equations are the likelihood critical-point equations for this model.

Distinct-solutions conjecture. For generic values of AA, BB, and SS, the score equations of MA,B\mathcal{M}_{A,B} with sample covariance matrix SS have 2n32n-3 distinct solutions.

The proven ML-degree is 2n32n-3, so the conjecture asserts that all solutions are distinct rather than occurring with higher multiplicity. The source also raises the separate open question of how many of these solutions can be real; that question is not included as a conjecture row here.

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Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Jane Ivy Coons, Orlando Marigliano and Michael Ruddy, “Maximum likelihood degree of the two-dimensional linear Gaussian covariance model”, arXiv:1909.04553 (2020).

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