Existence of a Markov category of measurable spaces with conditional expectations
A Markov category has objects given by measurable spaces , or variants such as measure algebras, and morphisms given by suitable positive unital linear maps
that preserve bounded directed suprema. Its monoidal structure is a suitable variant of the product of measurable spaces, and the comultiplication maps are induced by restriction to the diagonal
Conditional-expectation Markov category conjecture. Such a Markov category exists, with conditionals in the sense of the paper's definition, and these conditionals are given by conditional expectations. This would provide a categorical framework for conditional expectations in measure-theoretic probability. The precise choice of measurable-space variants, morphisms, and product structure remains to be established.
References
Primary source
Tobias Fritz, “A synthetic approach to Markov kernels, conditional independence and theorems on sufficient statistics”, arXiv:1908.07021 (2020).
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