Alon–Hefetz–Krivelevich–Tyomkyn square-root anti-concentration conjecture for graph edge statistics

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Let GG be an nn-vertex graph. For 0≤k≤n0\leq k\leq n, choose a uniformly random kk-vertex subset A⊆V(G)A\subseteq V(G) and let XG,k:=e(G[A])X_{G,k}:=e(G[A]) be the number of edges induced by AA. Suppose k→∞k\to\infty and n/k→∞n/k\to\infty, and let ℓ\ell satisfy

ℓ=Ω(k2)and(k2)−ℓ=Ω(k2).\ell=\Omega(k^{2})\quad\text{and}\quad \binom{k}{2}-\ell=\Omega(k^{2}).

Alon–Hefetz–Krivelevich–Tyomkyn's conjecture. The edge statistic satisfies

Pr⁡(XG,k=ℓ)=O(1/k).\Pr(X_{G,k}=\ell)=O(1/\sqrt{k}).

This predicts Gaussian-scale anti-concentration for induced edge counts when both the edge count and its complement are of quadratic order. The source presents it as an open conjecture; no resolution is given here.

References

Primary source

Jacob Fox, Matthew Kwan and Lisa Sauermann, “Combinatorial anti-concentration inequalities, with applications”, arXiv:1905.12142 (2020).

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