The Edge-statistics Conjecture for edge-inducibility

Let kk and llll be integers with 0<ll<(k2)0<ll<{k\choose 2}. For nkn\geq k, let I(n,k,ll)I(n,k,ll) be the maximum, over all nn-vertex graphs GG, of the probability that a uniformly random kk-vertex subset of GG spans exactly llll edges, and define the edge-inducibility by

ind(k,ll)=limnI(n,k,ll).\operatorname{ind}(k,ll)=\lim_{n\to\infty} I(n,k,ll).

The Edge-statistics Conjecture. For all integers kk and \ell with 0<<(k2)0<\ell<{k\choose 2},

ind(k,)1e+ok(1).\operatorname{ind}(k,\ell)\leq \frac{1}{e}+o_k(1).

The conjecture gives a uniform asymptotic upper bound on the probability of observing any nontrivial prescribed number of edges in a random kk-vertex subset of a very large graph. The paper states that earlier work proved substantial ranges and that the present result resolves the remaining cases, so the conjecture is solved.

Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Jacob Fox and Lisa Sauermann, “A Completion of the Proof of the Edge-statistics Conjecture”, arXiv:1809.01352 (2020).

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