Benford waiting-times conjecture for Mersenne numbers

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Let Mn=2pn−1M_n=2^{p_n}-1, where pnp_n is the nn-th prime, and let P(d)P(d) denote the Benford probability of leading digit dd. The waiting time between successive occurrences of a leading digit dd is the number of consecutive terms between those occurrences, counted as in the paper's definition of Benford-distributed waiting times. Benford waiting-times conjecture. The sequence {Mn}\{M_n\} has Benford-distributed waiting times: for each leading digit dd, these waiting times behave like geometric random variables with parameter p=P(d)p=P(d). The paper observes geometric waiting-time behavior numerically, while the corresponding local distribution properties remain conjectural.

References

Primary source

Zhaodong Cai, Matthew Faust, A. J. Hildebrand, Junxian Li and Yuan Zhang, “Leading Digits of Mersenne Numbers”, arXiv:1712.04425 (2018).

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