Benford waiting-times conjecture for Mersenne numbers

Let Mn=2pn1M_n=2^{p_n}-1, where pnp_n is the nn-th prime, and let P(d)P(d) denote the Benford probability of leading digit dd. The waiting time between successive occurrences of a leading digit dd is the number of consecutive terms between those occurrences, counted as in the paper's definition of Benford-distributed waiting times. Benford waiting-times conjecture. The sequence {Mn}\{M_n\} has Benford-distributed waiting times: for each leading digit dd, these waiting times behave like geometric random variables with parameter p=P(d)p=P(d). The paper observes geometric waiting-time behavior numerically, while the corresponding local distribution properties remain conjectural.

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Primary source

Zhaodong Cai, Matthew Faust, A. J. Hildebrand, Junxian Li and Yuan Zhang, “Leading Digits of Mersenne Numbers”, arXiv:1712.04425 (2018).

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