Strong Manin's conjecture on uniqueness of Manin components

Let XX be a smooth projective uniruled variety and let LL be a big and nef Q\mathbb{Q}-divisor such that κ(KX+a(X,L)L)=0\kappa(K_X+a(X,L)L)=0. Let F(X,L)F(X,L) be the relevant face of the nef cone of curve classes, and let a Manin component mean a component satisfying the four conditions defined in the paper: its classes lie in F(X,L)F(X,L), and its family map does not factor through the specified higher-aa, face-contracting, or positive-Iitaka-dimension thin morphisms.

Strong Manin's conjecture. For any Z\mathbb{Z}-curve class α\alpha contained in the relative interior of F(X,L)F(X,L), there is at most one Manin component parametrizing curves of class α\alpha.

This is the paper's main conjecture concerning Manin components. Uniqueness would give a particularly precise form of the expected geometric analogue of Manin's conjecture; the source says it holds in the examples known there and verifies it for the stated toric situation.

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Primary source

Brian Lehmann and Sho Tanimoto, “Geometric Manin's Conjecture and rational curves”, arXiv:1702.08508 (2018).

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