Charleston and Steel's recurrence conjecture for ancestral sequence reconstruction

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Let TkT_k) be a fully bifurcating phylogenetic tree of height kk, let RR be an alphabet with ∣R∣=r≥2|R|=r\geq 2, and let fk,rf_{k,r} denote the minimum number of leaves assigned a fixed state a∈Ra\in R such that the Fitch set at the root is {a}\{a\}. For positive integers pp, the proposed recurrence is

Charleston and Steel's conjecture. For TkT_k and r≥2r\geq 2,

fk,r={fk−p,r+fk−p−1,rwhen r=2p, 2⋅fk−p,rwhen r=2p−1,f_{k,r}=\begin{cases} f_{k-p,r}+f_{k-p-1,r} & \text{when } r=2p,\ 2\cdot f_{k-p,r} & \text{when } r=2p-1, \end{cases}

where p∈N≥1p\in\mathbb{N}_{\geq 1} in the first case and p∈N≥2p\in\mathbb{N}_{\geq 2} in the second case.

The conjecture generalizes the known binary-alphabet result that fk,2f_{k,2} equals the (k+1)(k+1)th Fibonacci number. The source presents this as the general case proposed by M. Steel and M. Charleston; its resolution is not established by the supplied context.

References

Primary source

Lina Herbst and Mareike Fischer, “Ancestral sequence reconstruction with Maximum Parsimony”, arXiv:1702.01436 (2017).

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