The update-stable zero-one conjecture for wired and free spanning forests

Let GG be an infinite network, and let F\mathfrak F be either the wired or free spanning forest of GG. A Borel set A{0,1}E\mathscr A\subseteq \{0,1\}^E is update-stable if, for every oriented edge ee of GG, the updated forest U(F,e)U(\mathfrak F,e) belongs to A\mathscr A if and only if F\mathfrak F belongs to A\mathscr A almost surely.

Update-stable zero-one conjecture. For every update-stable Borel set A{0,1}E\mathscr A\subseteq \{0,1\}^E, the probability that F\mathfrak F belongs to A\mathscr A is either zero or one.

A positive solution would yield an alternative proof that the number of excessive ends of the wired or free uniform spanning forest is nonrandom, and would also imply a positive solution to Question 15.7 of Benjamini, Lyons, Peres, and Schramm.

Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Tom Hutchcroft, “Interlacements and the Wired Uniform Spanning Forest”, arXiv:1512.08509 (2016).

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