Batyrev–Manin's conjecture for big divisors

Let XX be a smooth projective variety over a number field KK, with Néron–Severi space NS(X)R\mathrm{NS}(X)_{\mathbb{R}} and pseudo-effective cone PEf(X)\mathrm{PEf}(X). Assume KXPEf(X)K_X\notin\mathrm{PEf}(X), and let DD be a big divisor. Define α(D)\alpha(D) by

α(D)[D]+[KX]PEf(X),\alpha(D)[D]+[K_X]\in\partial\mathrm{PEf}(X),

and let β(D)\beta(D) be the codimension of the minimal face of PEf(X)\mathrm{PEf}(X) containing this boundary point. Batyrev–Manin's conjecture. If KK is sufficiently large, then for a sufficiently small cothin subset UX(K)U\subset X(K), with an arbitrary adelic metric on DD,

NU,D(B)CBα(D)(logB)β(D)1.\mathcal{N}_{U,D}(B)\sim CB^{\alpha(D)}(\log B)^{\beta(D)-1}.

This generalizes the predicted height asymptotic for Fano varieties and recovers the usual form when D=KXD=-K_X; the source gives no resolution status.

Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Takehiko Yasuda, “Manin's conjecture vs. Malle's conjecture”, arXiv:1505.04555 (2015).

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