Periodic-limit conjecture for normalized curve-diagram counts

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Let gn,kg_{n,k} denote the number of curve diagrams of genus nn and complexity kk, as in the paper. Let n≥2n\geq 2 be an integer. Periodic-limit conjecture. There exists a positive integer ρn\rho_n such that, for every integer ℓ∈{0,1,…,ρn−1}\ell\in\{0,1,\ldots,\rho_n-1\}, the sequence

gn,kρn+ℓk2(n−2)\frac{g_{n,k\rho_n+\ell}}{k^{2(n-2)}}

has a positive limit λn,ℓ\lambda_{n,\ell} as k→+∞k\to+\infty. This stronger conjecture is motivated by numerical patterns suggesting that the normalized counts split into convergent clusters according to a residue class of kk; the paper mentions moduli 66 for n=4n=4 and 22 for n=5n=5, while the corresponding cases n=2n=2 and n=3n=3 exhibit related patterns.

References

Primary source

Vincent Jugé, “Curve Diagrams, Laminations, and the Geometric Complexity of Braids”, arXiv:1503.00752 (2015).

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